July 4, 2026
3 developments
Threat declines but risk factors persist
RSIS reported no major attacks in 2025 and a plateau in surrenders.
Decommissioning suspended
OPAPRU's failure to deliver socioeconomic programmes left 40,000 MILF fighters in limbo.
BIFF rebuilds
The Salahuddin faction is being reconstituted through family networks in the Maguindanao marshes.