September 5, 2026
4 developments
Low turnout risk flagged
CCAA warned violence and voter uncertainty could push participation below the 70-75% target.
Gun incidents rise during the ban
58 incidents were recorded from 16 July to 31 August, a 32% increase.
108 areas flagged as red
ANFREL and NDI warned of controlled voting where clan and armed influence overlap.
Policing report published
Crisis Group documented military dominance and police capacity gaps.